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Red340
4265154.1
2614182.9
4306142.2
Blue224
3959179.1
3489153.6
1466151.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355349250300400450500340224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.90.2
182.7182.9
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
red by 3.8
179.10.2
178.9179.1
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
Second
154.10.5
153.6154.1
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
red by 0.5
153.60.0
153.6153.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Third
4306
#29
142.20.6
141.7142.2
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
blue by 9.1
1466
#14
151.30.1
151.2151.3
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4