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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red447
4265154.1
2614182.9
4306142.2
Blue351
1038142.8
3966129.3
144146.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405273100200500600700447351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#1
182.90.1
182.2→182.3
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
red by 36.7
144
#34
146.20.0
146.2→146.2
Auto19.3
Teleop109.8
End18.7
Second
4265
#8
154.10.5
151.5→152.0
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
red by 11.3
1038
#24
142.80.2
143.0→142.8
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
Third
4306
#29
142.20.6
139.4→140.0
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
red by 12.9
3966
#11
129.30.0
129.3→129.3
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9