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Semifinal 1-12018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red351
4265154.1
2614182.9
4306142.2
Blue291
744166.5
3140153.6
108104.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397287100200500600700351291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#1
182.90.1
182.3→182.4
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
red by 16.4
744
#13
166.50.0
166.5→166.5
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Second
4265
#8
154.10.5
152.0→152.5
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
red by 0.5
3140
#4
153.60.3
153.0→153.3
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
Third
4306
#29
142.20.6
140.0→140.5
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
red by 37.7
108
#32
104.50.6
103.3→103.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8