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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red438
744166.5
3140153.6
108104.5
Blue250
3490132.6
5508142.2
2638147.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327328250300350400438250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#13
166.50.1
166.5→166.5
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
red by 19.5
2638
#21
147.00.6
146.4→147.0
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
Second
3140
#4
153.60.2
152.8→153.0
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
red by 11.4
5508
#5
142.20.4
141.8→142.2
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
Third
108
#32
104.50.5
102.8→103.3
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
blue by 28.1
3490
#6
132.60.1
132.5→132.6
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8