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Semifinal 2-22018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red353
3959179.1
3489153.6
1466151.3
Blue175
3824179.0
5492143.7
4504107.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3932810100200500600700353175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#7
179.10.3
178.3→178.6
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
Level
3824
#12
179.00.1
178.9→179.0
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
Second
3489
#2
153.60.0
153.6→153.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
red by 9.9
5492
#3
143.70.8
143.0→143.7
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
Third
1466
#14
151.30.2
150.8→151.0
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
red by 43.4
4504
#33
107.90.3
107.7→107.9
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2