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Qual 112018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red349
5005107.7
3966129.3
343148.1
Blue61
6219105.6
5186104.4
5744101.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28824410020040050034961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#16
148.10.3
145.3→145.0
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
red by 42.4
6219
#45
105.69.2
94.1→103.4
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
Second
3966
#11
129.30.1
118.3→118.2
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9
red by 24.9
5186
#38
104.48.9
78.9→87.8
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
Third
5005
#27
107.70.3
100.6→100.9
Auto17.2
Teleop80.7
End10.2
red by 6.2
5744
#50
101.512.1
79.6→91.7
Auto15.2
Teleop76.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed