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Qual 122018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red444
3489153.6
2614182.9
4264138.8
Blue115
476495.6
5002113.1
4504107.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413150100200300500600700444115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#1
182.92.4
169.7→172.1
Auto28.4
Teleop128.0
End26.4
red by 69.8
5002
#47
113.10.1
112.1→112.0
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
Second
3489
#2
153.60.9
144.7→145.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
red by 45.7
4504
#33
107.90.8
94.8→95.5
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
Third
4264
#9
138.87.2
96.8→104.0
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
red by 43.1
4764
#41
95.61.8
101.4→99.6
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed