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Red401
4462146.5
4013127.1
2393130.7
Blue258
3984106.9
2638147.0
3821113.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2852930100200400500600401258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#18
146.511.2
101.1112.3
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
blue by 0.5
2638
#21
147.010.1
104.0114.1
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
Second
2393
#30
130.71.1
125.7124.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
red by 17.7
3821
#40
113.010.6
83.494.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
Third
4013
#31
127.10.3
120.4120.1
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
red by 20.2
3984
#49
106.912.7
88.8101.5
Auto14.8
Teleop80.4
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed