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Red549
108104.5
3140153.6
3490132.6
Blue276
4306142.2
5022119.3
3824179.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2343720100200300500600700549276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.61.1
143.3144.5
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
blue by 25.4
3824
#12
179.01.6
176.6178.2
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
Second
132.60.3
127.7127.4
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8
blue by 9.6
4306
#29
142.20.7
129.1129.8
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
Third
108
#32
104.50.5
93.493.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
blue by 14.9
5022
#35
119.31.1
114.7115.8
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed