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Qual 172018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red311
6846101.7
2973132.5
1038142.8
Blue202
5492143.7
5744101.5
6928122.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326247100200300400500311202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#24
142.81.6
134.9→136.5
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
blue by 0.9
5492
#3
143.71.0
128.8→129.7
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
Second
2973
#15
132.51.9
119.3→121.2
Auto19.5
Teleop96.3
End14.3
red by 9.8
6928
#26
122.714.4
77.7→92.1
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
Third
6846
#42
101.711.4
77.7→89.1
Auto14.7
Teleop80.4
End4.9
red by 0.1
5744
#50
101.54.8
91.7→96.5
Auto15.2
Teleop76.3
End12.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed