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Qual 212018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red259
3140153.6
343148.1
3821113.0
Blue195
6654107.8
4576121.8
3489153.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions336260100200300400500259195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#4
153.60.5
144.5→145.0
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
Level
3489
#2
153.61.8
145.6→147.4
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Second
343
#16
148.11.1
145.0→146.1
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
red by 26.3
4576
#43
121.82.1
113.4→115.5
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
Third
3821
#40
113.07.0
94.0→101.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
red by 5.2
6654
#36
107.84.2
88.5→92.7
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed