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Qual 222018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red422
4264138.8
3824179.0
6928122.7
Blue268
5186104.4
1466151.3
2856124.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3632310100200300400500600422268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3824
#12
179.00.8
178.2→179.0
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
red by 27.7
1466
#14
151.31.5
140.2→141.8
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
Second
4264
#9
138.87.2
104.0→111.1
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
red by 14.3
2856
#46
124.46.8
99.9→106.7
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
Third
6928
#26
122.78.6
92.1→100.7
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
red by 18.3
5186
#38
104.42.7
87.8→90.5
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed