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Qual 232018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red259
4083120.6
476495.6
108104.5
Blue129
3984106.9
2393130.7
6846101.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204314100400500600259129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4083
#20
120.60.8
114.4→115.2
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End16.2
blue by 10.1
2393
#30
130.70.8
124.6→125.5
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
Second
108
#32
104.50.0
93.9→93.9
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
blue by 2.4
3984
#49
106.98.3
101.5→109.8
Auto14.8
Teleop80.4
End10.8
Third
4764
#41
95.61.5
99.6→98.1
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
blue by 6.0
6846
#42
101.78.6
89.1→97.7
Auto14.7
Teleop80.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed