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Qual 242018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red314
5022119.3
2190133.5
4462146.5
Blue361
5492143.7
6302123.8
283141.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3093150100200400500600700800314361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#18
146.510.8
112.3→123.2
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
red by 2.8
5492
#3
143.70.2
129.7→129.9
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
Second
2190
#17
133.57.5
97.7→105.3
Auto15.6
Teleop96.1
End26.2
blue by 7.8
283
#25
141.32.0
133.1→135.1
Auto15.7
Teleop99.8
End23.1
Third
5022
#35
119.30.5
115.8→116.3
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
blue by 4.4
6302
#23
123.810.3
96.5→106.7
Auto17.0
Teleop93.9
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed