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Qual 262018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red193
4504107.9
1293127.0
2638147.0
Blue413
4265154.1
3966129.3
3140153.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2193570100300400500193413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#21
147.05.4
120.7→126.0
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
blue by 7.1
4265
#8
154.12.2
132.3→134.5
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
Second
1293
#37
127.06.1
96.5→102.6
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
blue by 26.6
3140
#4
153.60.4
145.0→145.4
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
Third
4504
#33
107.90.5
96.0→96.5
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
blue by 21.4
3966
#11
129.30.8
119.0→119.9
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed