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Qual 282018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red104
6928122.7
3984106.9
5002113.1
Blue445
5492143.7
6517139.3
744166.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253352100200300400500104445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6928
#26
122.77.0
100.7→107.7
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
blue by 43.8
744
#13
166.51.6
154.2→155.7
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Second
5002
#47
113.10.8
111.9→111.1
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
blue by 30.6
5492
#3
143.70.6
129.9→130.5
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
Third
3984
#49
106.93.3
109.8→113.2
Auto14.8
Teleop80.4
End10.8
blue by 32.4
6517
#10
139.34.7
109.5→114.2
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed