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Qual 292018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red264
2856124.4
144146.2
6654107.8
Blue276
4306142.2
3490132.6
4284114.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312268100200400500600264276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#34
146.20.5
147.3→147.7
Auto19.3
Teleop109.8
End18.7
red by 4.0
4306
#29
142.20.5
130.1→130.6
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
Second
2856
#46
124.46.2
106.7→112.9
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
blue by 8.2
3490
#6
132.60.1
126.8→126.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8
Third
6654
#36
107.82.0
92.7→94.7
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
blue by 6.7
4284
#19
114.51.2
108.6→107.4
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed