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Red450
5508142.2
744166.5
6654107.8
Blue255
1466151.3
5005107.7
5022119.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318254100200400500600450255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#13
166.50.2
151.1151.2
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
red by 15.2
1466
#14
151.30.6
138.4139.0
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
Second
142.215.3
81.196.4
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
red by 22.8
5022
#35
119.30.6
114.1114.7
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
Third
6654
#36
107.817.9
57.375.3
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
red by 0.1
5005
#27
107.70.2
100.8100.6
Auto17.2
Teleop80.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed