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Qual 42018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red421
3140153.6
2856124.4
5492143.7
Blue204
6858113.4
53894.2
4630133.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422350100200300400500421204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#4
153.60.8
142.6→143.3
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
red by 20.5
4630
#22
133.116.3
71.7→88.0
Auto18.6
Teleop99.0
End15.5
Second
5492
#3
143.70.7
128.1→128.8
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
red by 30.4
6858
#28
113.435.6
113.4→77.7
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End11.8
Third
2856
#46
124.416.3
71.7→88.0
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
red by 30.3
538
#44
94.22.3
107.4→105.0
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed