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Qual 52018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red151
4284114.5
2393130.7
1038142.8
Blue350
3489153.6
4462146.5
4265154.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289318100200400500151350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#24
142.83.6
130.2→133.8
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
blue by 11.3
4265
#8
154.10.2
129.5→129.3
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
Second
2393
#30
130.70.4
125.3→125.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 22.9
3489
#2
153.60.2
144.5→144.7
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Third
4284
#19
114.51.0
108.8→109.8
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.4
blue by 32.0
4462
#18
146.514.7
86.4→101.1
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed