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Qual 362018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red132
6157117.0
5744101.5
3201105.1
Blue386
3489153.6
5022119.3
3140153.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2093850100300500132386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6157
#39
117.05.2
103.5→108.6
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End16.5
blue by 36.6
3489
#2
153.60.4
148.3→148.7
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
Second
3201
#48
105.11.1
113.3→112.2
Auto15.2
Teleop80.6
End9.4
blue by 48.4
3140
#4
153.61.4
145.4→146.8
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
Third
5744
#50
101.50.6
98.7→99.3
Auto15.2
Teleop76.3
End12.1
blue by 17.8
5022
#35
119.30.2
116.9→116.8
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed