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Qual 372018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red208
3821113.0
1466151.3
476495.6
Blue475
4284114.5
4504107.9
4265154.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301274150200250350400450500208475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#14
151.31.8
143.5→145.3
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
blue by 2.8
4265
#8
154.12.9
134.5→137.4
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
Second
3821
#40
113.04.2
106.0→110.3
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
blue by 1.6
4284
#19
114.50.5
107.4→106.9
Auto14.3
Teleop87.1
End15.4
Third
4764
#41
95.60.7
97.7→97.0
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
blue by 12.3
4504
#33
107.90.7
96.5→97.2
Auto14.6
Teleop81.3
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed