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Red375
1038142.8
108104.5
2856124.4
Blue271
2638147.0
6654107.8
5002113.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309241100150200350400450375271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#24
142.81.6
138.1139.7
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
blue by 4.2
2638
#21
147.04.1
126.0130.2
Auto20.0
Teleop109.6
End20.3
Second
2856
#46
124.45.2
112.9118.1
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
red by 11.3
5002
#47
113.11.3
111.1109.8
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
Third
108
#32
104.50.7
94.795.4
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
blue by 3.3
6654
#36
107.82.3
94.797.0
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed