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Qual 392018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red380
6928122.7
1293127.0
6846101.7
Blue249
2393130.7
4576121.8
6219105.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552850100200400500600380249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1293
#37
127.04.6
102.6→107.2
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
blue by 3.8
2393
#30
130.70.1
125.2→125.3
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
Second
6928
#26
122.72.7
107.7→110.3
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
red by 0.9
4576
#43
121.80.7
116.8→117.6
Auto15.9
Teleop94.8
End12.8
Third
6846
#42
101.70.1
101.4→101.2
Auto14.7
Teleop80.4
End4.9
blue by 4.0
6219
#45
105.60.1
106.3→106.2
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed