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Qual 402018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red379
5508142.2
4306142.2
5186104.4
Blue280
4013127.1
2190133.5
283141.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306310200250350400379280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4306
#29
142.20.8
130.6→131.4
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
red by 1.0
283
#25
141.30.6
137.0→137.6
Auto15.7
Teleop99.8
End23.1
Second
5508
#5
142.26.2
121.2→127.4
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
red by 8.7
2190
#17
133.55.8
111.0→116.8
Auto15.6
Teleop96.1
End26.2
Third
5186
#38
104.42.4
94.0→96.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
blue by 22.6
4013
#31
127.10.4
122.9→123.3
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed