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Red212
4462146.5
6858113.4
5005107.7
Blue312
53894.2
3959179.1
3824179.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393830100200300500212312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4462
#18
146.56.4
131.0137.4
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
blue by 32.5
179.10.6
176.7176.1
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
Second
6858
#28
113.43.6
99.9103.5
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End11.8
blue by 65.6
3824
#12
179.00.1
180.1179.9
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
Third
5005
#27
107.71.7
103.3105.0
Auto17.2
Teleop80.7
End10.2
red by 13.6
538
#44
94.21.2
100.699.4
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed