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Qual 422018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red295
3140153.6
4083120.6
6517139.3
Blue268
2973132.5
4264138.8
3490132.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242850100200400500600295268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#4
153.61.7
146.8→148.5
Auto18.5
Teleop125.2
End12.2
red by 14.8
4264
#9
138.84.0
117.2→121.3
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
Second
6517
#10
139.35.9
114.2→120.1
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
red by 6.7
3490
#6
132.61.2
127.5→128.6
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8
Third
4083
#20
120.60.9
116.6→117.5
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End16.2
blue by 11.9
2973
#15
132.52.3
125.0→127.3
Auto19.5
Teleop96.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed