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Qual 472018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red348
343148.1
6928122.7
476495.6
Blue237
2973132.5
53894.2
4462146.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299270100150200250350400450348237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#16
148.10.2
148.0→147.8
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
red by 1.5
4462
#18
146.53.4
137.4→140.8
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
Second
6928
#26
122.74.5
110.3→114.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.2
End11.6
blue by 9.8
2973
#15
132.52.0
127.3→129.3
Auto19.5
Teleop96.3
End14.3
Third
4764
#41
95.60.8
97.0→96.3
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
red by 1.5
538
#44
94.21.3
99.4→98.1
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed