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Qual 482018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red378
5186104.4
4264138.8
4013127.1
Blue202
1038142.8
6654107.8
6219105.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713020100200400500600700800378202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#9
138.83.2
121.3→124.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.9
End15.3
blue by 4.0
1038
#24
142.82.0
139.7→141.7
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
Second
4013
#31
127.10.6
123.3→124.0
Auto18.9
Teleop94.5
End14.0
red by 19.2
6654
#36
107.82.9
97.0→99.9
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
Third
5186
#38
104.44.0
96.4→100.4
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
blue by 1.2
6219
#45
105.60.5
106.2→106.7
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed