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Qual 492018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red431
5002113.1
2393130.7
5022119.3
Blue227
3821113.0
6858113.4
2190133.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294297150200250350400450431227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2393
#30
130.70.3
125.3→125.5
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 2.7
2190
#17
133.54.6
116.8→121.4
Auto15.6
Teleop96.1
End26.2
Second
5022
#35
119.30.3
116.8→117.1
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
red by 6.0
6858
#28
113.41.5
103.5→105.0
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End11.8
Third
5002
#47
113.10.5
109.8→109.3
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
red by 0.1
3821
#40
113.02.3
110.3→112.5
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed