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Qual 582018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red432
6517139.3
6858113.4
4265154.1
Blue270
6157117.0
4462146.5
108104.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342248100200300400500432270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#8
154.12.2
140.8→143.0
Auto19.8
Teleop118.5
End16.0
red by 7.6
4462
#18
146.50.2
140.8→141.0
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
Second
6517
#10
139.31.8
124.3→126.1
Auto18.7
Teleop108.1
End12.6
red by 22.3
6157
#39
117.00.3
111.4→111.7
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End16.5
Third
6858
#28
113.41.1
105.0→106.1
Auto17.5
Teleop82.9
End11.8
red by 8.9
108
#32
104.51.5
96.6→98.1
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed