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Qual 592018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red278
3966129.3
5508142.2
476495.6
Blue432
5002113.1
1038142.8
6302123.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259308100200400500278432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5508
#5
142.21.0
136.9→137.8
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
blue by 0.6
1038
#24
142.80.2
142.4→142.7
Auto17.6
Teleop109.6
End16.5
Second
3966
#11
129.31.9
123.5→125.4
Auto18.6
Teleop101.2
End9.9
red by 5.5
6302
#23
123.80.7
125.9→125.2
Auto17.0
Teleop93.9
End12.6
Third
4764
#41
95.60.9
96.2→95.2
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
blue by 17.5
5002
#47
113.10.7
109.3→110.0
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsEarned44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed