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Qual 602018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red434
4306142.2
5492143.7
3959179.1
Blue280
343148.1
2393130.7
744166.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323348200250300400450500434280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3959
#7
179.10.2
175.2→175.3
Auto22.9
Teleop142.0
End13.8
red by 12.5
744
#13
166.52.3
163.0→165.3
Auto22.6
Teleop128.2
End17.1
Second
5492
#3
143.71.7
132.9→134.6
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
blue by 4.4
343
#16
148.10.6
148.2→148.9
Auto21.3
Teleop117.8
End7.3
Third
4306
#29
142.21.3
133.7→135.0
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
red by 11.5
2393
#30
130.71.7
126.9→128.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed