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Red271
6654107.8
108104.5
4306142.2
Blue386
476495.6
5492143.7
6157117.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313286150200250350400450271386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4306
#29
142.22.2
135.0137.2
Auto15.3
Teleop107.2
End22.8
blue by 1.5
143.72.5
134.6137.1
Auto14.6
Teleop103.8
End30.2
Second
6654
#36
107.83.6
101.9105.5
Auto16.5
Teleop83.7
End9.0
blue by 9.2
6157
#39
117.01.6
112.5114.1
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End16.5
Third
108
#32
104.51.6
99.5101.0
Auto14.7
Teleop88.1
End4.8
red by 8.8
4764
#41
95.60.3
95.294.9
Auto15.2
Teleop75.3
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed