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Qual 732018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red289
5022119.3
6846101.7
144146.2
Blue322
1293127.0
2856124.4
4462146.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275346100200400500600289322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#34
146.20.5
146.6→146.0
Auto19.3
Teleop109.8
End18.7
blue by 0.3
4462
#18
146.52.7
141.6→144.3
Auto23.0
Teleop101.2
End25.5
Second
5022
#35
119.30.2
119.2→119.1
Auto16.5
Teleop91.0
End11.2
blue by 7.6
1293
#37
127.03.4
120.9→124.3
Auto16.4
Teleop101.3
End12.0
Third
6846
#42
101.70.6
101.9→101.3
Auto14.7
Teleop80.4
End4.9
blue by 22.8
2856
#46
124.40.1
124.2→124.0
Auto13.8
Teleop92.9
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed