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Qual 742018 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red281
5744101.5
3489153.6
2393130.7
Blue423
3824179.0
3490132.6
5508142.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275382100200500600281423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#2
153.61.4
151.2→152.6
Auto20.6
Teleop109.4
End20.8
blue by 25.4
3824
#12
179.00.8
179.4→178.6
Auto24.0
Teleop140.2
End15.1
Second
2393
#30
130.70.8
128.6→129.4
Auto17.8
Teleop96.5
End14.9
blue by 11.4
5508
#5
142.21.7
137.8→139.5
Auto21.5
Teleop105.9
End16.8
Third
5744
#50
101.52.3
97.9→100.2
Auto15.2
Teleop76.3
End12.1
blue by 31.1
3490
#6
132.60.7
130.9→131.6
Auto18.5
Teleop99.0
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed