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Red207
5002113.1
53894.2
5186104.4
Blue231
2973132.5
3201105.1
6302123.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2143360100300400500600207231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#47
113.11.4
110.5111.9
Auto16.2
Teleop82.0
End16.1
blue by 19.4
2973
#15
132.51.1
130.9132.0
Auto19.5
Teleop96.3
End14.3
Second
5186
#38
104.41.0
106.0105.0
Auto15.2
Teleop82.3
End2.1
blue by 19.4
6302
#23
123.80.4
125.2124.8
Auto17.0
Teleop93.9
End12.6
Third
538
#44
94.20.7
95.594.8
Auto13.9
Teleop70.8
End7.5
blue by 11.0
3201
#48
105.11.3
107.9106.6
Auto15.2
Teleop80.6
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed