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Red173
6219105.6
3821113.0
4083120.6
Blue382
2190133.5
1466151.3
6157117.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284346100200400500173382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4083
#20
120.60.7
119.9120.6
Auto15.7
Teleop89.2
End16.2
blue by 30.7
1466
#14
151.30.2
149.8150.0
Auto20.4
Teleop113.6
End16.4
Second
3821
#40
113.00.3
113.3113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.2
End16.9
blue by 20.5
2190
#17
133.52.1
131.4133.5
Auto15.6
Teleop96.1
End26.2
Third
6219
#45
105.60.9
104.7105.6
Auto17.3
Teleop81.7
End4.2
blue by 11.4
6157
#39
117.02.9
114.1117.0
Auto16.7
Teleop87.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed