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Red366
3646162.5
7290104.0
6064101.2
Blue5
7298100.5
5558100.5
729195.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29423901002004005006007008003665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.513.8
89.5103.3
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
red by 62.0
7298
#31
100.510.6
77.788.3
Auto11.9
Teleop74.5
End14.0
Second
7290
#34
104.012.4
77.790.1
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
red by 3.5
5558
#33
100.511.1
79.090.0
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
Third
6064
#29
101.210.3
82.792.9
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
red by 5.3
7291
#26
95.914.3
77.792.0
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed