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Qual 132018 Istanbul Regional
Red173
7293126.0
7297104.3
7071107.0
Blue136
722895.3
2905111.7
6415134.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265260150200250300350173136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7293
#20
126.014.8
77.7→92.6
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
blue by 8.9
6415
#5
134.811.5
92.4→104.0
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
Second
7071
#10
107.05.9
89.7→95.6
Auto14.6
Teleop88.3
End6.1
blue by 4.7
2905
#17
111.78.9
96.3→105.1
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
Third
7297
#9
104.36.5
90.5→97.0
Auto11.9
Teleop84.7
End7.6
red by 9.0
7228
#36
95.34.5
86.8→91.3
Auto13.2
Teleop75.6
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed