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Red439
7108116.4
6429180.0
7239116.0
Blue138
7295110.6
7035106.6
4191120.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832510100200400500439138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.013.1
104.5117.6
Auto25.2
Teleop138.2
End15.2
red by 59.3
120.77.5
94.3101.8
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Second
7108
#23
116.48.7
91.199.7
Auto13.5
Teleop89.8
End13.2
red by 5.9
7295
#21
110.69.8
91.1100.9
Auto13.4
Teleop89.9
End8.4
Third
7239
#24
116.06.4
86.893.3
Auto14.2
Teleop90.4
End12.7
red by 9.4
7035
#19
106.68.0
92.0100.0
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed