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Qual 152018 Istanbul Regional
Red154
5558100.5
7010112.7
7290104.0
Blue275
729298.2
683896.5
7140150.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250257100150200300350400450154275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7010
#14
112.75.8
88.4→94.3
Auto12.6
Teleop84.4
End19.8
blue by 37.8
7140
#4
150.513.2
91.1→104.2
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Second
7290
#34
104.011.1
90.1→101.3
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
red by 5.8
7292
#37
98.25.6
90.1→95.7
Auto12.8
Teleop78.2
End4.9
Third
5558
#33
100.53.2
90.0→93.2
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
red by 4.0
6838
#22
96.54.0
86.0→90.0
Auto15.0
Teleop79.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed