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Qual 162018 Istanbul Regional
Red125
6038129.7
623297.0
7296106.5
Blue390
6014129.0
3646162.5
7298100.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632450100200300400500600125390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#6
129.78.5
97.3→105.8
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
blue by 32.9
3646
#2
162.512.2
103.3→115.5
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
Second
7296
#18
106.55.9
86.8→92.7
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
blue by 22.5
6014
#8
129.06.0
85.0→91.0
Auto15.2
Teleop100.3
End14.7
Third
6232
#27
97.09.5
88.6→98.1
Auto13.5
Teleop72.7
End5.8
blue by 3.6
7298
#31
100.53.0
88.3→91.3
Auto11.9
Teleop74.5
End14.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed