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Red177
722797.7
7293126.0
6697115.3
Blue312
6989119.2
729497.4
6415134.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2522350100200300400500600177312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7293
#20
126.09.2
92.6101.7
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
blue by 8.9
134.85.5
104.0109.5
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
Second
6697
#15
115.39.7
85.895.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.6
End16.8
blue by 3.9
6989
#16
119.27.9
92.6100.5
Auto15.9
Teleop89.8
End15.5
Third
7227
#35
97.75.1
88.393.4
Auto14.1
Teleop73.7
End5.4
red by 0.3
7294
#32
97.42.9
86.088.9
Auto11.5
Teleop76.9
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed