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Red173
6303101.0
6436111.7
5655109.1
Blue323
7086122.5
6985150.2
729195.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212700100300400500173323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6436
#25
111.72.3
95.097.3
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
blue by 38.5
150.29.2
90.199.3
Auto21.1
Teleop112.4
End17.4
Second
5655
#28
109.18.6
86.695.2
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0
blue by 13.4
7086
#12
122.58.9
88.397.2
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
Third
6303
#13
101.03.5
86.089.4
Auto13.6
Teleop81.9
End6.8
red by 5.1
7291
#26
95.95.3
92.097.3
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed