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Red35
707095.4
6064101.2
722895.3
Blue293
5665112.1
7140150.5
2905111.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229264010020030040050035293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6064
#29
101.29.8
92.9102.7
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End3.2
blue by 49.3
150.59.6
104.2113.9
Auto15.3
Teleop109.0
End28.5
Second
7070
#11
95.46.6
89.796.3
Auto14.5
Teleop78.2
End0.6
blue by 16.7
5665
#30
112.13.6
96.199.6
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
Third
7228
#36
95.30.8
91.392.1
Auto13.2
Teleop75.6
End9.8
blue by 16.4
2905
#17
111.73.7
105.1108.8
Auto11.9
Teleop88.1
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed