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Qual 202018 Istanbul Regional
Red157
7298100.5
7293126.0
7035106.6
Blue208
4191120.7
7010112.7
722797.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263231100150200300350400450157208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7293
#20
126.05.6
101.7→107.3
Auto15.1
Teleop94.7
End17.5
red by 5.3
4191
#7
120.71.8
101.8→103.7
Auto11.4
Teleop98.1
End11.9
Second
7035
#19
106.62.1
100.0→102.1
Auto13.5
Teleop91.6
End-0.7
blue by 6.1
7010
#14
112.72.8
94.3→97.0
Auto12.6
Teleop84.4
End19.8
Third
7298
#31
100.55.8
91.3→97.1
Auto11.9
Teleop74.5
End14.0
red by 2.8
7227
#35
97.72.8
93.4→96.3
Auto14.1
Teleop73.7
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed