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Red385
6436111.7
6697115.3
3646162.5
Blue77
683896.5
7239116.0
5558100.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314203010040050060038577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.512.2
115.5127.7
Auto24.6
Teleop117.2
End20.0
red by 46.6
7239
#24
116.08.2
93.3101.4
Auto14.2
Teleop90.4
End12.7
Second
6697
#15
115.35.9
95.5101.5
Auto14.2
Teleop85.6
End16.8
red by 14.8
5558
#33
100.51.1
93.294.3
Auto11.8
Teleop77.5
End11.0
Third
6436
#25
111.70.7
97.398.0
Auto14.9
Teleop89.0
End9.3
red by 15.2
6838
#22
96.53.4
90.093.4
Auto15.0
Teleop79.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed