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Qual 222018 Istanbul Regional
Red335
6415134.8
6038129.7
729195.9
Blue155
5655109.1
7297104.3
623297.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872270100200400500600335155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6415
#5
134.85.7
109.5→115.1
Auto15.7
Teleop109.0
End8.3
red by 25.8
5655
#28
109.14.9
95.2→100.1
Auto13.6
Teleop90.6
End4.0
Second
6038
#6
129.73.9
105.8→109.7
Auto14.4
Teleop98.8
End19.1
red by 25.4
7297
#9
104.33.6
97.0→100.6
Auto11.9
Teleop84.7
End7.6
Third
7291
#26
95.94.7
97.3→102.0
Auto13.8
Teleop74.4
End8.3
blue by 1.1
6232
#27
97.04.6
98.1→102.7
Auto13.5
Teleop72.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed