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Qual 232018 Istanbul Regional
Red148
729497.4
5665112.1
7290104.0
Blue257
6303101.0
7296106.5
7086122.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2792210100400500600148257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5665
#30DQ
112.13.8
99.6→103.5
Auto12.6
Teleop80.4
End22.0
blue by 10.4
7086
#12
122.57.1
97.2→104.3
Auto12.4
Teleop94.6
End17.1
Second
7290
#34
104.06.3
101.3→107.6
Auto15.4
Teleop80.8
End5.4
blue by 2.5
7296
#18
106.52.3
92.7→95.0
Auto14.1
Teleop83.0
End5.7
Third
7294
#32
97.43.8
88.9→92.7
Auto11.5
Teleop76.9
End11.5
blue by 3.6
6303
#13
101.01.5
89.4→90.9
Auto13.6
Teleop81.9
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed